Rabs Markets Weekly Insights – September 29, 2025
Welcome to Rabs Markets Weekly Insights, your trusted source for detailed analysis of financial markets. This week, we cover major currency pairs, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies, highlighting key support and resistance levels to guide your trading decisions.
🌐 Forex Market Outlook
The forex market this week is shaped by evolving expectations around U.S. Federal Reserve policy, central bank cues from Europe and Japan, and fresh U.S. economic data. The dollar remains under modest pressure, while commodity‑linked and safe‑haven currencies are experiencing mixed flows.
💱 Major Currency Pairs
| Pair | Current Price* | Weekly Change | Support | Resistance | Outlook & Key Triggers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ~1.1702 | +0.30% | 1.1650 | 1.1750 | Euro supported by softer U.S. dollar. Break above 1.1750 may extend gains; below 1.1650 risks correction. |
| GBP/USD | ~1.34x | modest gain | 1.3300 | 1.3500–1.3600 | Pound steady on UK data. Push above 1.3500 targets 1.3600; weak UK data risks downside. |
| USD/JPY | ~149.80 | slight move | 148.50 | 150.50 | Yen fragile. Watch BOJ signals and U.S. inflation. Break above 150.50 strengthens USD; below 148.50 signals yen recovery. |
| USD/CAD | ~1.39x | mild shift | 1.3850 | 1.4000 | CAD steady, tracking oil. Oil rally may pressure USD/CAD lower; resistance at 1.4000 key for bulls. |
| USD/CHF | ~0.798 | mild pressure | 0.795 | 0.805 | Safe‑haven demand keeps franc resilient. Break below 0.795 could accelerate downside. |
| AUD/USD | ~0.6542 | slight softness | 0.6500 | 0.6600 | Aussie tied to commodities. Above 0.6600 signals recovery; below 0.6500 risks deeper pullback. |
*Prices reflect latest available quotes at time of writing.
Key Drivers:
- U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls and inflation data
- ECB policy updates
- BOJ monetary stance
- Oil and commodity price swings
- Global risk sentiment
🪙 Precious Metals Update
Metals remain a focal point as traders weigh Fed policy signals, inflation fears, and geopolitical risks.
| Metal | Current Spot | Weekly Move | Support | Resistance | Insights |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold (XAU/USD) | ~$3,748.41 | +1.6% | $3,720 | $3,780–3,800 | Gold remains firm, buoyed by safe‑haven flows. Watch $3,780–3,800 as key resistance. |
| Silver (XAG/USD) | ~$44.83 | –0.9% | $43.50 | $45.50 | Silver lags gold due to weaker industrial demand. A break above $45.50 could target $47. |
Takeaway: Strong U.S. data tempers hopes for early Fed cuts, but tariffs and inflation fears continue to support gold. Silver’s performance depends on industrial demand recovery.
💻 Cryptocurrency Landscape
Crypto markets remain volatile. Bitcoin is consolidating, while Ethereum faces pressure at support.
| Asset | Price Estimate | Weekly % Change | Support | Resistance | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (BTC/USD) | ~$111,700 | Slightly negative | $108,000 | $115,000 | BTC consolidates near $112k. Breakout above $115k may spark bullish momentum; below $108k risks deeper drop. |
| Ethereum (ETH/USD) | ~$4,100–4,200 | Downside pressure | $4,000 | $4,400 | ETH struggles near $4,000. Holding support is critical to avoid further weakness. |
Key Drivers:
- U.S. regulatory news
- Institutional adoption (ETFs, custody)
- Ethereum network upgrades
- Macro sentiment shifts
🔍 Key Events & Catalysts This Week
| Day | Event | Market Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Tuesday | ISM Manufacturing, New Orders | USD direction, risk sentiment |
| Wednesday | JOLTs, Durable Goods, Factory Orders | Fed policy expectations |
| Thursday | ADP Employment, ISM Services | Prepares markets for NFP |
| Friday | U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls, Wages, Unemployment | Major volatility expected across FX, metals, and crypto |
Also monitor U.S. CPI/PCE data, central bank speeches, geopolitics, and oil price swings.
✅ Weekly Summary
- Forex: Euro and pound supported; USD/JPY near resistance. Key levels in play.
- Metals: Gold holds strong, silver underperforms. Watch gold’s $3,780–3,800 resistance.
- Crypto: BTC consolidating, ETH vulnerable. Critical supports at $108k (BTC) and $4k (ETH).
📈 Final Thoughts
This week, markets are focused on U.S. jobs data, central bank commentary, and geopolitical risks. Traders should lean on support/resistance levels for strategic entries and exits while keeping risk tight in volatile conditions.
Stay tuned with Rabs Markets for more insights and real‑time updates.
